On-line Sports Betting Secrets: Realizing When NOT To Bet

Sports wagering can be very profitable if a person know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that smart money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a excellent example. My partner and i analyzed the particular West Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Va had the particular edge in the game. However , I also noticed that there are a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guess on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia versus Louisville

This online game offers all the symptoms of being one of the greatest games connected with the year, having equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using West Virginia coming back from becoming down large in the fourth fraction to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

If this sport were turning into played from the simple field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented spin. That they haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.

These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, Bookmaker stranieri italia added bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like very much, but in a near match-up similar to this, that special point might make the distinction between the push in addition to a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since 12 18, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. five points per game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points per game with home. In case a person failed to do the mathmatical, that means considering that their own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their own oppositions by means of about thirty four factors per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by means of 13 points per online game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats have been built up during the 2005 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They are yet to got recent games where they already have only scored 28, 3, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Ohio St. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still a good close sport to call up. Although the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this particular game and definitely not bet at all. There are usually better activities this quick with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big they may still win after doing so many mistakes. By not betting on this game, people critical regarding wagering saved money many people can offer better make use of on future games.