Sports playing can be very profitable if you know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make funds. The most significant secrets that clever money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. I analyzed this West California vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Las vegas had typically the edge in the game. Nonetheless My spouse and i also came to the realization that there were a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not wager on this kind of game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West California versus Louisville

This sport offers all the symptoms of being one connected with the best games connected with the year, together with each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. เว็บคาสิโน ‘s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western Virginia coming backside from getting down big in the fourth fraction to winning in overtime.

So what’s the game search like this year?

When this match were turning into played at the neutral field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 STREET games.

These are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular extra benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not look like very much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that more point might make the distinction between the push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since Dec 18, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. some points every game at home, while averaging only letting go of 15. six points per game on home. In case a person failed to do the math concepts, that means given that their own last home damage they’ve averaged beating their very own opponents by simply about 34 things per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, simply by 13 factors per game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats ended up built up during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already acquired recent games in which they have already only scored 35, 12, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Kansas Street. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still the close sport to contact. Nevertheless what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off that game and not gamble at all. There usually are better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border was not so big that they could very well still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that video game, people critical concerning wagering saved money they will can offer better employ on forthcoming games.