Sports bets can be quite profitable if anyone know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that wise money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. My partner and i analyzed this West Las vegas vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Va had typically the edge in the sport. Yet , I also recognized that there were a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on this game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This activity possesses all the indications of being one involving the most effective games regarding the year, with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming again from becoming down huge in the 4th 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

When this match were turning into played at a good basic field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost due to the fact March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROAD games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s online game. Plus, the included added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not look like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up such as this, that spare point can make the big difference between a good push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since 12 , 18, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. five points every game at your home, while hitting only quitting 15. six points per game with home. In case anyone did not do the math, that means considering their very own last home reduction they already have averaged beating their own opponents simply by about thirty four details per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, simply by 13 items per video game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats were being established during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. jetsadabet99 got recent games by which they are yet to only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still a good close sport to call. Nonetheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off that game and definitely not wager at all. There are better video games this saturday and sunday with more simple benefits.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for a TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big they may possibly still win right after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on this game, people really serious about wagering saved money these people can offer better work with on approaching games.